Is SETI—the Search for Extraterrestrial
Intelligence—a religion? This is one of the topics that
Jill Tarter, Director of the Center for SETI Research at
the SETI Institute, and I discussed on "Are We Alone?",
the SETI Institute's weekly radio
program on Wednesday May 17.
The discussion by Jill and I was in response to a
claim made by George Basalla (professor emeritus of
history at the University of Delaware) in his book
Civilized Life in the Universe (Oxford University
Press: 2006) that SETI is more of a faith-based
enterprise than a genuine science. He points to SETI's
failure to make "contact" after more than forty years of
trying and its continuing efforts in the absence of any
positive evidence as a sign that it relies more on a
kind of religious zeal than anything else.
(Incidentally, Basalla was invited to appear on the show
but declined.)
Needless to say, Jill Tarter is less than impressed
by this argument, as indeed am I. Firstly we know that
there's intelligence in the universe. As I pointed out
on the show there are dolphins and great apes. And you
might even throw Homo sapiens into that mix on the rare
occasions when we live up to our self-proclaimed species
name. It isn't an unreasonable hypothesis that if
intelligence has come about on one planet that it may
also have arisen elsewhere, especially given the vast
number of stars in this and other galaxies. SETI serves
as a test of that hypothesis. But beyond that it's one
of our noblest and most exciting scientific quests: to
discover if we are alone and represent the high-water
mark of intelligence and technology in the cosmos or,
alternatively, if we're simply one member of a community
of minded races, many of them perhaps vastly more
ancient and advanced than ourselves.
Religions are characterized by two factors:
worship—in other words, some system of devotion directed
toward one or more omniscient and supranatural
beings—and faith in the absence of material evidence.
SETI qualifies as a religion on neither of these counts.
Unless I'm very much mistaken no SETI researcher offers
prayers to the subject of his or her quest (although it
would be fascinating to know what spiritual traditions
might have grown up among the civilizations of other
stars). And any faith that's involved in SETI is only
the kind of non-religious "faith" that any scientist
adheres to—faith in the scientific method, the equipment
she uses, the all-important peer review process, and so
on. As I've mentioned, we already have material evidence
for intelligence in the universe: it consists of the
brains you're using right now to assimilate these
thoughts. Unlike a religion which relies on pure faith
that a god exists, we don't need faith that intelligence
and technology exist.
To address Basalla's argument, that it's time for
SETI advocates to lower their expectations and even
admit they may be on a wild goose chase, I'd like to
point to a parallel with the search for extrasolar
planets - worlds that are in orbit around other stars.
Until quite recently we had no evidence for planets
beyond our own solar system; it was simply a hypothesis,
like the hypothesis that there may be ETI. The practical
search for extrasolar worlds kicked off back in the
1930s with the pioneering work of the Dutch-American
astronomer Peter
Van der Kamp. Although he collected data that seemed
to suggest there were worlds in orbit around Barnard's
Star and a few other nearby stars, this evidence proved
to be unfounded (some of it due to tiny systematic
wobbles in the telescope he was using). Only in the
1990s, sixty years after Van der Kamp began his
investigations, did scientists find conclusive proof
that there are other planets out there. Over the past
decade or so, more than 180 extrasolar planets have been
found.
If we were to follow Basalla's line of reasoning, the
search for extrasolar planets also qualifies as a kind
of religion. Shouldn't we simply have given up after
four decades of looking? Surely that's enough time to
have found something if it really existed? Isn't
continuing beyond that a sign of misplaced faith and
over-optimism? Fortunately the quest did go on and we're
now reaping the rewards—new planets by the bucket-load.
Historically, the question of whether extrasolar
planets existed and, if they did, how common they were
and what they might be like, finds an interesting
parallel with the central issues in SETI. There used to
be two big theories about the origin of the planets in
the solar system. One of these was called the
catastrophic hypothesis.
It suggested that the planets had formed in the
aftermath of a near collision between the Sun and
another star from a swathe of gas ripped out of the Sun
by the stellar intruder. If this were the case then
planetary systems could be expected to be very rare
because such close encounters between stars almost never
happen. The rival theory of planet formation was the
nebular hypothesis which argued that the planets of the
solar system coalesced from a cloud of gas and dust left
over from when the Sun was formed. The nebular
hypothesis suggested that the birth of planets might be
a routine business throughout the universe. Of course,
this is the theory, in updated form, that astronomers
believe in today and the discovery of numerous other
planets is good confirmation of it.
The parallel debate going on in SETI and astrobiology
concerns how often primitive life, such as bacteria,
serves as the precursor of complex, multicellular life,
and, ultimately, advanced intelligence. Supporters of
the "Rare Earth" hypothesis think that it happens only
very, very rarely. Others, including myself, think that
intelligence offers a big survival advantage and that it
will come about whenever it's given a reasonable chance.
SETI is a first step towards resolving this issue. But
it still has a very long way to go. Forecasting how
intelligence will evolve is a hazardous business. We
don't have much to go on. What we do know is that as
soon as high technology takes hold, evolution is
fantastically rapid and virtually unpredictable. Does
anyone have a clue how the Internet or genetic
engineering are going to develop over the next 10, 20,
or 50 years? How about the next million years?
SETI researchers know their limitations. They're
restricted at present to searching for radio and optical
signals—our own best, fastest means of getting messages
across interstellar distance. Who knows what our
galactic elders, if they exist, may be using to
communicate with? We have no idea what is out there or
what forms alien intelligence may take. We are, as Seth
Shostak pointed out during the radio interview, like
Columbus sailing into uncharted waters. We don't know
what we'll find. But the quest is extraordinary,
exciting, abundantly worthwhile, and true to the
methodology and spirit of science.
David Darling is a United Kingdom-based astronomer
and author. He runs the website The Worlds of David
Darling.